Published 30 October 2026. Analysis and predictions are our opinion,
not a guarantee of anything. 18+, please gamble responsibly.
Liverpool host Arsenal on Sunday 1 November, kick-off 4.30pm UK time at Anfield. It is the biggest game of the Premier League weekend. Arsenal, the champions, are level on 21 points with Manchester City at the top after eight games. Liverpool are fourth on 15 and have won four in a row. A home win cuts the gap to three points.
The market makes Arsenal favourites at Anfield, which says plenty about how the first two months have gone for each side.
The case for Liverpool
Andoni Iraola’s side have won eight of their last ten games since the start of September, and the last four in a row. The latest was 2-0 against Brighton at Anfield on 25 October: Pascal Gross turned Florian Wirtz’s shot into his own net on 17 minutes and Alexander Isak scored four minutes later from Bradley Barcola’s cut-back. It was Iraola’s first home league win as Liverpool head coach.
The league record is four wins, three draws and one defeat, with 11 goals scored and eight conceded. One defeat is the joint-best record in the league; the three draws are why Liverpool sit six points back.
The fitness question is Wirtz. He went off after 64 minutes against Brighton with a twisted ankle. He said he thought it would be alright, and Iraola said the club needed to check how serious it was. Liverpool also had a Carabao Cup tie with Chelsea at Anfield on Wednesday. Going into the weekend, previews list Jeremie Frimpong, Hugo Ekitike and Conor Bradley as out. Dominik Szoboszlai has a hamstring problem and is unlikely to play, and reports split on whether Wirtz’s ankle has cleared.
The case for Arsenal
Mikel Arteta’s side have won seven of eight league games, scored 13 and conceded five, the best defensive record in the division. They beat Everton 2-0 at the Emirates on 24 October: Ezri Konsa scored his first goal for the club after seven minutes, bundling in after a corner, and Gabriel headed the second on 68 minutes in his 200th Premier League game for Arsenal. That win, with City losing at Aston Villa the same day, took them level on points at the top. City stay first only on goal difference.
Sky Sports pointed out that Konsa’s goal was Arsenal’s first set-piece goal of the league season, excluding penalties. It took them eight games to score one.
Arsenal played at League Two Fleetwood Town in the Carabao Cup on Tuesday and were knocked out, a day earlier than Liverpool’s cup tie, which at least gives them one extra day to recover. The team news is less kind. Bukayo Saka is reported out with a thigh problem, William Saliba is still weeks away according to Arteta, and Max Dowman is suspended after his red card at Fleetwood, with an appeal unlikely to be heard in time. Declan Rice and Riccardo Calafiori are being assessed. Noni Madueke is expected to be fit to cover on the right.
What looks the smart angle
On Friday 30 October, William Hill have the best partner price on Liverpool at 19/10 (2.90), with Betfred on 15/8 (2.88). Betfred are best among the partners on the draw at 5/2 (3.50). All three partners go 13/10 (2.30) on Arsenal. Among books we have no deal with, Ladbrokes and Coral still go 2/1 (3.00) on Liverpool, and Paddy Power and Unibet 7/5 (2.40) on Arsenal.
The market has moved Liverpool’s way since Monday, when the best partner price on the home win was 2/1. Arsenal drifting slightly is consistent with the Saka and Saliba news. As opinion, the draw at 5/2 with Betfred is still the price we would look at first. Arsenal concede very little, Liverpool have drawn three of eight, and both sides are missing players. Liverpool at 19/10 is the case for anyone who rates the home side’s run more than Arsenal’s injuries. That is opinion on the prices as they stood on Friday morning, not a prediction.
We hold no deal with Ladbrokes, Coral, Paddy Power, Unibet, Sky Bet, BoyleSports or 888sport, which is why their prices do not link out.
Elsewhere
Saturday has Chelsea v Manchester United at 12.30pm, Tottenham v Crystal Palace at 5.30pm and Aston Villa v Fulham in the evening, with the Breeders’ Cup Classic at Keeneland late on Saturday evening UK time. Newcastle host Everton on Monday night, and the Paris Masters tennis main draw starts the same day.
The sportsbook offers for Sunday at Anfield
All three outcomes are priced at 13/10 or bigger with every partner, so any of them qualifies for every welcome offer below.
Ad: Betfred’s bet £10, get £50 in free bets has the best partner price on the draw, and it is the largest of the three packages. The first bet must be £10 or more at Evens (2.0) or bigger and settle within seven days. All three outcomes here clear that, Arsenal included. You get £30 in sports free bets and £20 in Bet Builder free bets within 24 hours of settlement, valid seven days. The deposit has to be by debit card.
William Hill’s bet £10, get £30 in free bets has the best partner price on Liverpool at 19/10. Register with promo code R30, deposit £10 or more and place a £10 single from your main balance at 1/2 or bigger. Three £10 free bets follow once it settles, valid for seven days and to be used in full. PayPal, Skrill, NETELLER, Apple Pay and several other deposit methods are excluded.
Virgin Bet’s welcome offer matches the other two partners on Arsenal at 13/10. It needs a £10 deposit and a £10+ cash bet at 1/2 (1.5) or bigger within 14 days of registering. You get 2 x £10 sportsbook free bets and 2 x £5 Bet Builder tokens, with seven days to accept them from the pop-up and seven to use them. The Bet Builder tokens need a single selection at Evens or bigger.
For the afternoon before kick-off, William Hill’s 50 free spins on Mining Pots of Gold needs code M50 and a £10 stake, with 24 hours to use the spins and a £30 cap on winnings. Virgin Bet’s 100 free spins on Eye of Horus and 100 free spins on King Kong Cash Even Bigger Bananas 2 both pay winnings as cash with no cap.
If you think Liverpool make it five in a row, claim the William Hill welcome offer here and take 19/10. If you side with the draw, Betfred’s 5/2 is the best partner price and qualifies for the larger offer. Any view here is opinion, not a tip. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
